Z221: Intelligence Analytics
Learning Outcomes
Required Books
Sarah M. Beebe (Editor), Randolph H. Pherson. Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Structured Analytic Techniques in Action. Los Angeles: CQPress, 2014. ISBN-13: 978-1483340166
Assignments
Date |
Points |
Assignments |
Feb 8 |
10 |
Tarin Kowt write-up due |
Feb 15 |
10 |
Bhutto Assassination write-up due |
Feb 22 |
10 |
Ukraine write-up due |
Feb 29 |
10 |
Belgrade write-up due |
Mar 7 |
10 |
Moskalenko write-up |
Mar 21 |
10 |
Revolutionary Organization 17 write-up |
Mar 28 |
10 |
Iranian Meddling write-up due |
Apr 4 |
10 |
Mumbai Terrorists write-up due |
Apr 11 |
10 |
FARC write-up due |
Apr 18 |
10 |
Radio Marti write-up due |
|
100 |
Total points |
Schedule of Readings
Date |
Subject |
Required Readings |
Jan 11 |
Introduction |
Introduction to the class |
Jan 13 |
Cognitive bias |
George Dvorsky. “The 12 cognitive biases that prevent you from being rational.” io9, 9 Jan 2013 |
Jan 18 |
Martin Luther King Holiday |
No Readings |
Jan 20 |
Cognitive bias |
Richards J. Heuer, Jr. "Nosenko: Five Paths to Judgment," Studies in Intelligence 31, no. 3 (Fall, 1987): 71-101 |
Jan 25 |
Analysis exercise |
The Kingdom. Universal Pictures. 2008 |
Jan 27 |
Analysis exercise |
The Kingdom |
Feb 1 |
The Road to Tarin Kowt |
Beebe & Pherson. Chapter 6 |
Feb 3 |
The Road to Tarin Kowt |
Analysis and write-up |
Feb 8 |
The Assassination of Benazir Bhutto |
Beebe & Pherson. Chapter 8 |
Feb 10 |
The Assassination of Benazir Bhutto |
Analysis and write-up |
Feb 15 |
Shades of Orange in Ukraine |
Beebe & Pherson. Chapter 16 |
Feb 17 |
Shades of Orange in Ukraine |
Analysis and write-up |
Feb 22 |
Violence Erupts in Belgrade |
Beebe & Pherson. Chapter 17 |
Feb 24 |
Violence Erupts in Belgrade |
Analysis and write-up |
Feb 29 |
Who Poisoned Karinna Moskalenko? |
Beebe & Pherson. Chapter 1 |
Mar 2 |
Who Poisoned Karinna Moskalenko? |
Analysis and write-up |
Mar 7 |
Understanding Revolutionary Organization 17 November |
Beebe & Pherson. Chapter 13 |
Mar 9 |
Understanding Revolutionary Organization 17 November |
Analysis and write-up |
Mar 14 |
Spring Break |
No assignments or readings |
Mar 16 |
Spring Break |
No assignments or readings |
Mar 21 |
Iranian Meddling in Bahrain |
Beebe & Pherson. Chapter 15 |
Mar 23 |
Iranian Meddling in Bahrain |
Analysis and write-up |
Mar 28 |
Defending Mumbai from Terrorist Attack |
Beebe & Pherson. Chapter 14 |
Mar 30 |
Defending Mumbai from Terrorist Attack |
Analysis and write-up |
Apr 4 |
Colombia’s FARC Attacks to Homeland |
Beebe & Pherson. Chapter 12 |
Apr 6 |
Colombia’s FARC Attacks to Homeland |
Write-up and analysis |
Apr 11 |
Jousting with Cuba over Radio Marti |
Beebe & Pherson. Chapter 5 |
Apr 13 |
Jousting with Cuba over Radio Marti |
Write-up and analysis |
Apr 18 |
|
Contingency time |
Apr 20 |
|
Contingency time |
Apr 25 |
|
Contingency time |
Apr 27 |
|
Contingency time |
May 2-6 |
FINALS WEEK |
No final exam |